What Our Early NBA Projections Can Tell Us About Next Season

14PacersEast152243-3971-741 Peer into CARM-Elo’s NBA crystal ballEarly projected standings and playoff chances for the 2018-19 NBA season, according to FiveThirtyEight’s CARM-Elo model 22GrizzliesWest142832-5012-7<1<1 TeamConf.CARM-EloProj. RecordPlayoff ChancesCARM-Elo Adj.Make finalsWin title Source: Basketball-Reference.com, ESPN.COM 4ThunderWest164053-2991+1696 9NuggetsWest158048-3480-1331 20NetsEast145935-4737-161<1 11WizardsEast157948-3487+12123 9LakersWest158046-3672+3553 27BullsEast137027-559-21<1<1 24CavaliersEast140530-5218+18<1<1 When last we left the NBA, the Golden State Warriors were wrapping up their third championship in four years and staking their claim as perhaps the game’s greatest dynasty. Then a bunch of players switched teams, including LeBron James (to the Lakers), Kawhi Leonard (to the Raptors), FiveThirtyEight stat-namesake Carmelo Anthony (to the Rockets) and DeMarcus Cousins (to — who else? — the Warriors).Now that the league has settled into a period of relative calm with a little more than two months to go before opening night — and now that the full season schedule has been released — we thought we’d run an early preseason version of our CARM-Elo team ratings and season projections.A few notes before we get to the numbers: The depth charts that drive the projections are from ESPN.com, up-to-date as of Aug. 9. We didn’t scale the raw Elo ratings to an overall league average of 1505 (it’s about 1514 instead), so the ratings you see are very slightly inflated relative to what they will be when we do our proper projections in the fall. (But the average number of wins across the league does come out to a 41-41 record.)Now that all that’s out of the way, here are our way-too-early, extremely preliminary 2018-19 projections: 2RocketsWest166154-2894+30149 12PelicansWest157146-3670-1321 6CelticsEast163053-2995+14227 25MavericksWest137627-554+11<1<1 13BucksEast156447-3584-982 1WarriorsWest176664-18>99%+5453%42% 7T-WolvesWest162952-3088-264 In a completely shocking result, the Warriors are No. 1 in our CARM-Elo rankings for next season. OK, fine — that’s not very surprising. The Warriors project to win a league-high 64 games, and they have a 42 percent probability of winning yet another championship, which would make them only the third team to win four titles in five years.1Joining the 1949-54 Minneapolis Lakers and the 1960s Boston Celtics, who won 11 titles in 13 years. Perhaps that’s getting a little bit ahead of things, given how close the Houston Rockets were to eliminating the Warriors in the playoffs, but the CARM-Elo gap between No. 1 Golden State and No. 2 Houston (105 points) is greater than the gap between Houston and the No. 13 Milwaukee Bucks. Needless to say, it’s the Warriors’ ring to chase once again.Which isn’t to say there aren’t still interesting storylines to keep us tuned in. The Lakers are the most improved team in the league according to our model — thanks mostly to that LeBron guy, but also to some of the improving young talent around him. (Although all those improvements have simply brought them up to the Denver Nuggets level of Elo.) Our ratings also think pretty highly of the Minnesota Timberwolves, Utah Jazz and Oklahoma City Thunder, at least when compared with other gauges such as the Vegas over-unders. And contrary to what Jaylen Brown might think, the Leonard-led Raptors — and not the Boston Celtics or Philadelphia 76ers — look like the team to beat in the Eastern Conference, with a 28 percent chance of making the NBA Finals. (Then again, our numbers were bearish on the Celtics last season as well, only to have Brad Stevens laugh in the face of the predictions like he usually does.)For all of the projections that went into this early forecast (including team-by-team playing-time allocations), check out our projections Google doc here. Also, you can break down detailed future projections for every player in the league using our CARMELO player projections.Jay Boice contributed research. 5JazzWest163754-2892-864 16BlazersWest150739-4337-71<1 15HeatEast151241-4164-1331 8SixersEast162352-3095-8165 28SunsWest136426-564-11<1<1 23MagicEast142433-4925-201<1 REGULAR SEASONPLAYOFFS 16SpursWest150740-4240+1911 26HawksEast137328-5410-16<1<1 21ClippersWest143533-4916-5<1<1 18PistonsEast149239-4355-122<1 19HornetsEast148138-4448-52<1 30KingsWest131921-611-17<1<1 3RaptorsEast164555-2797+18289 29KnicksEast135325-576-18<1<1 read more

Read More →

Road trip for mens volleyball starts in Romeoville

With four regular season games left before the Midwestern Intercollegiate Volleyball Association Tournament, the Ohio State men’s volleyball team sits in third place in the eight-team conference, 1.5 games back of first place Lewis University. The league’s regular season champion will be rewarded a bye during the tournament’s quarterfinal round. In 2012, the Buckeyes received the tournament’s lone bye on a tiebreaker after both OSU and Lewis finished the conference campaign with a record of 9-3. The last time the Buckeyes did not have the No. 1 seed was 2006, when they lost in the semifinals as the No. 4 seed against No. 1 seed Loyola of Chicago. Loyola of Chicago sits in second this season, one game behind the Flyers. Finishing at or near the top of the table will be crucial for OSU’s postseason success since tournament matchups are hosted by the higher seed. The Buckeyes have a 10-1 record at home this season, with the lone loss coming in a sweep at the hands of Lewis on March 2. Two of the Buckeyes’ remaining four league matches are on the road against teams of higher standing. OSU cannot afford to drop both matches if it wants to have a shot at earning the automatic berth into the semifinals. Coach Pete Hanson’s squad begins its road trip against Lewis on Thursday night in Romeoville, Ill. OSU senior setter Kyle Lawrence said he and his teammates have not forgotten about the Flyers victory in Columbus earlier this season, and they have been anticipating the rematch ever since. “We have a countdown going on in our locker room to Romeoville, so it’s definitely something we’ve starred on our schedule for the rest of the season. I think we have a little bit of fire under our butts right now after that loss at home,” Lawrence said. Lewis, meanwhile, is looking to regain its composure, coming off two losses in its last three conference matches. Flyers coach Dan Friend said he believes his players have gotten back to the form they had earlier in the season when they won their first eight out of the gate in conference play. “After last weekend, there were a few things we worked on in practice to get us into a better groove,” Friend said. After Thursday night’s contest, the Buckeyes will make the drive to Chicago to face the Ramblers on Saturday. OSU won its previous match against Shane Davis’ men on March 1 in five sets at home. After arguably its toughest week of the regular season, OSU’s schedule becomes much less threatening when it returns home on April 12 to play Quincy on back-to-back nights. The Hawks have only won four sets in league play and have no victories in 10 attempts against conference foes. Like Lewis, OSU is trying to rebound from subpar play as well. The team’s last road trip netted two losses, as the Buckeyes were only able to take two sets combined against the Mastodons of Indiana University Purdue University-Fort Wayne and the Cardinals of Ball State. OSU (17-5, 7-3 MIVA) is currently ranked No. 11 by the American Volleyball Coaches Association. It is the same position the Buckeyes opened the season in before climbing as high as No. 6 in February. The team has not dropped out of the poll’s top 15 all season. OSU senior outside hitter Nick Gibson said this time of year is generally full of exciting games. “We’re looking forward to some good competition, some big matches. It’s going to take a lot. We lost to Lewis here, we’re looking to get a good win there and carry us into the conference tournament,” Gibson said. The Buckeyes’ match against Lewis on Thursday is set to begin at 8 p.m. read more

Read More →

Carlos Hyde separates himself at running back defense matures for Ohio State

The Ohio State football team capped off its spring practice session with its annual Spring Game Saturday in Cincinnati, but the coaches and players believe there is still substantial work to be done. OSU’s assistant coaches met with the media Wednesday to discuss the improvements that need to be made, which players have stuck out during the spring and how they hope the leadership of last year’s seniors will be replaced. Carlos Hyde and Rod Smith: separating themselves from the rest Senior running back Carlos Hyde ran for 970 yards in his first season as a full-time starter in Meyer’s spread offense. His 16 rushing touchdowns led the team, and according to running backs coach Stan Drayton, Hyde and junior Rod Smith are going to be the main contributors for the position this fall. “I do believe that Carlos and Rod have separated themselves from both (sophomore Bri’onte Dunn and redshirt freshman Warren Ball),” Drayton said. “I feel like we have depth that can bring productivity to our offense which is something that is an unbelievable luxury to have. Carlos is clearly the starter, and I think Rod has separated himself from those guys right now.” Drayton went on to say Hyde has grown into a “phenomenal leader.” “It was critical that he establish himself with a young group of guys,” Drayton said. “He was like a coach out there. It was really good to see.” For the front seven, leadership is the key With former starters John Simon and Johnathan Hankins gone, linebacker coach and co-defensive coordinator Luke Fickell said the biggest thing that the defense has lost is leadership. “I think you’re always concerned about the leadership and the mentality and the way those guys are handling everything,” Fickell said. “You worry about how they gel together, how the leadership guys step up, how they make the other guys around them better.” Fickell said he was happy to see a number of guys “really maturing” this spring though, including junior middle linebacker Curtis Grant, who Fickell sees in the starting lineup with junior Ryan Shazier and sophomore Joshua Perry. Defensive line coach Mike Vrabel said the line made “good progress” during the 14 spring practices. The coaching staff and the players, though, are “not putting a lot of stock” in the 11 sacks the defense had during the Spring Game. Vrabel said the defensive line was more productive during scrimmages earlier in the spring than during the game because “you saw more consistent plays in the run game, runs that we’re going to see. Some of those guys in that first group didn’t see a whole bunch of runs (during the Spring Game).” Vrabel said that juniors Joel Hale and Michael Bennett in particular have made significant progress. “I think Joel Hale improved. I think we saw some things from him that we hadn’t seen from him last year,” Vrabel said. “Michael Bennett had a good spring. He was consistent, he was there every day. He was a leader for us and gave us a physical presence inside.” read more

Read More →

Opinion 5 defensive players who will make an impact for Ohio State

OSU sophomore safety Vonn Bell. Credit: Courtesy of OSULast season, the Ohio State football defense left a lot to be desired, and it might have to turn that around in a big way to support an offense that will be playing without senior quarterback Braxton Miller.The Buckeye defense gave up a total of 5,284 yards in 2013, including 3,752 yards through the air. If the team wants to have more success in 2014, some players will have to step up with only seven starters returning from last season.The following five players — not all of whom were starters last season — will have to take their games to the next level to help keep the Buckeyes’ championship hopes alive.1. Senior cornerback Doran GrantLet’s be frank: OSU’s pass defense was awful last season.Former Buckeye Bradley Roby had all the talent in the world, but he never seemed to be able to put it all together after an early-season suspension. Enter Grant, who showed some flashes of athleticism and talent, but still spent a fair amount of time getting beaten in the flats — along with the entire defense.Grant has big-play ability and has received a lot of praise from coach Urban Meyer this offseason, but will need to build on his 58 tackles and three interceptions from 2013 if the Buckeyes want to see a big jump forward in pass defense. Meyer went so far as to say Grant was playing to the caliber of an All-Big Ten cornerback in fall camp.He’s the only returning starter in the defensive backfield, and is by far the most senior player of them all. As a leader and as a player, if Grant turns a corner this season, it will be a completely new OSU defense.2. Sophomore defensive lineman Joey Bosa Bosa played in all 14 games last season as a true freshman and did more than flash his potential as a dominating lineman. He arrived on campus already looking like an NFL-ready player and his production — especially later in the season — proved he has the potential to be one of the best ever at OSU.After tallying 7.5 sacks last season — second only to junior defensive lineman Noah Spence — Bosa has a chance to make a statement on a Big Ten and national level this year.The defensive line is the Buckeyes’ best position group, and Bosa just might be the best of the bunch.3. (tie) Sophomore safety Vonn Bell and redshirt-sophomore safety Tyvis PowellThe OSU safeties had a pretty rough go throughout 2013. Then-senior Christian Bryant broke his ankle against Wisconsin to end his Buckeye career, and the safeties were left without someone who was arguably their best player. C.J. Barnett was the other starter and he finished second on the team with 84 tackles, but Barnett has since graduated as well.In 2014, Bell and Powell look set to take their spots, hoping to do better than former OSU safety Corey “Pitt” Brown did filling in for Bryant last season.Both are extremely talented players, as Bell is one of the highest-rated recruits Meyer has brought to OSU and Powell played extensively last season. They even each had trademark moments last year: Bell had an incredible one-handed interception in the Orange Bowl while Powell sealed a win against Michigan with an interception on the Wolverines last ditch two-point attempt. Along with Grant, Bell and Powell have a chance to live up to expectations this season and transform the OSU pass defense into one of the best in the Big Ten.4. Senior defensive lineman Michael BennettBennett brings a lot to the table on and off the field. Meyer announced Monday that Bennett, along with Grant and three others, was voted a team captain by his teammates.As a leader, he’ll be the go-to guy on the defensive line, but as a player, he’ll still need to be dominant for the unit to live up to their best-in-the-nation potential.Last season the Centerville, Ohio, native totaled 11.5 tackles for loss and seven sacks while fighting through minor injuries throughout the season. If he’s fully healthy in 2014, Bennett could put together an even better season and be looking toward the first round of the NFL Draft next spring.5. Freshman linebacker Raekwon McMillanJunior Joshua Perry and senior Curtis Grant are the familiar returning names on the OSU linebacker’s depth chart, but McMillan could eventually leave Columbus as the best of the bunch.He was a five-star recruit coming out of high school as one of the best prep linebackers in the nation. That comes with a lot of lofty expectations as a freshman, especially at a school known for producing standout linebackers like A.J. Hawk and Chris Spielman.There’s almost nothing to go off of outside of high school footage and his performance in the Spring Game, but McMillan is going to see the field early and often if OSU coaches are to be believed.Regardless of whether he starts a single game this season, McMillan will be tasked with doing more than your average freshman, and all signs point toward him being up for the challenge.OSU’s season-opener is scheduled for Saturday against Navy at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. Kickoff is set for noon. read more

Read More →

Ohio State No 16 in inaugural College Football Playoff Rankings

The Ohio State football team — ranked No. 13 in both the Associated Press top 25 and the USA Today coaches poll — came in at No.16 in the first-ever College Football Playoff standings, announced via ESPN on Tuesday evening.The Buckeyes (6-1, 3-0) are one of three Big Ten teams listed in the standings, which consist of 25 teams total. Nebraska is No. 15 while Michigan State ranks No. 8.Mississippi State came it at No. 1 while Florida State, Auburn and Mississippi round out the top four. At the end of the season, the top four teams in the College Football Playoff standings are set to compete in the first-ever College Football Playoff.The standings were decided by a panel of 12 members, including Wisconsin athletic director Barry Alvarez, Lt. Gen. Mike Gould and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. In total, the panel is set to consist of 13 members, but former Mississippi and NFL quarterback Archie Manning is taking a leave of absence because of health concerns.With its new knowledge of where it stands in the playoff picture, OSU is set to return to the field against Illinois on Saturday at Ohio Stadium. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m.Complete Standings:Mississippi StateFlorida StateAuburnOle MissOregonAlabamaTCUMichigan StateKansas StateNotre DameGeorgiaArizonaBaylorArizona StateNebraskaOhio StateUtahOklahomaLouisiana State UniversityWest VirginiaClemsonUCLAEast CarolinaDukeLouisville read more

Read More →

Couple celebrates 50th anniversary in same wedding clothes they wore in 1966

first_imgCarole-Ann and Jim Stanfield were shocked to find their old wedding clothes still fit, after going in the loft to find their wedding pictures and coming across the garments.They decided to wear their old wedding clothes on their 50th anniversary.The couple found the clothes because their granddaughter, Hayley, wanted the two to find their old wedding pictures.Mr and Mrs Stanfield from Tamworth, Staffordshire, obliged by rifling through their things in the loft, and came across the wedding dress and suit, gathering dust.The two last wore the outfits on October 1 1966.Mrs Stanfield said: “When Hayley discovered we still had our wedding outfits, she said we should try them on to see if they still fit. “Jim went up and dug them out. Hayley insisted we put them on but I said no, they’d been in the loft and they were dusty and smelly.”But she begged and pleaded so we did it for her – we were gobsmacked when we discovered they still fitted perfectly.”Their granddaughter also said they should have a party at which they could wear their old wedding outfits.The Stanfields thought this was a good idea and invited all their friends so they could celebrate their anniversary in the old clothes. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. The two at their anniversary party The two at their anniversary partyCredit:SWNS  “A lot of people knew we were going to wear them, but they were still stunned to see us in them,” said Carole-Ann Stanfield. The two originally visited Malta after their wedding – and now they are planning a “second honeymoon” in Turkey.The couple met in 1962 in the men’s club where Jim Stanfield worked.They said the secret to a long marriage is plenty of laughter, and that the first thing Mr Stanfield noticed about the woman who would be his wife was her big blonde hair.Mrs Stanfield said: “Jim loved my big blonde hair, and I loved his humour – he is such a comedian and always makes me laugh. I think that’s the key,”We have very different interests and hobbies, but the laughter is what keeps us strong.”last_img read more

Read More →

Eurovision singer who picked up nil points at 2003 contest convicted of false

first_imgProsecuting, Kevin Slack said neighbours had given a witness statement saying Sean Creighton had moved into the singer’s home in 2010.He said: “Photos posted by her on Facebook showed her wearing a white wedding dress at the ceremony.“But each year, the defendant renewed her tax credit claim on the basis she remained a lone parent.”She told police she had not declared she was living with Mr Creighton because their relationship had initially been “rocky”.David McLaghlan, defending, said her ex-partner – the father of her two daughters – was not paying child maintenance, and that the defendant was “suffering depression and had started to drink too much”. Despite her wedding, Ms Abbey had been claiming tax credits as a single mum Despite her wedding, Ms Abbey had been claiming tax credits as a single mumCredit: David Dyson The singer – now known as Creighton-Abbey – admitted two counts of fraud and was handed a 30-week prison sentence, suspended for one year, plus a one-year supervision order.The fraudulent benefits are to be reclaimed through deductions on her future payments.Creighton-Abbey was one half of pop duo Jemini.Their off-key performance of their song Cry Baby in Latvian capital Riga was Britain’s worst entry in 47 years of the contest.Dorothy Brown, Director of Benefits and Credits Operations, HMRC, said: “This operation vividly illustrates how HMRC and the Department for Work and Pensions are working together against benefit fraud, sending a strong message to anyone who thinks benefit fraud acceptable.“If you know of anyone who is committing tax fraud please contact our 24 hour Hotline on 0800 59 5000 and help us stamp it out.”And a DWP spokesman said: “Only a small minority of people try to cheat the benefits system, but cases like this show how we are rooting out those who are stealing taxpayers’ money and diverting it away from the people who really need it.”center_img Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. She famously picked up nil points for the UK in the 2003 Eurovision Song Contest.And now Gemma Abbey, one half of former pop band Jemini, has been convicted of fraudulently claiming £52,000 in benefits.Despite Facebook pictures showing her wedding in the Mediterranean, Ms Abbey had been claiming tax credits as a single mum.Liverpool Crown Court heard she had also been making claims above her entitlement since April 2009 in respect of her youngest daughter, who has a “very serious medical condition”.last_img read more

Read More →

Soap actress says her engagement to notorious prisoner Charles Bronson is the

first_imgCoronation Street actress Paula Williamson plans to move in with Charles Bronson, should he be released Coronation Street actress Paula Williamson plans to move in with Charles Bronson, should he be released Ms Williamson met Bronson – who has been married twice, engaged to two other women and has a son by one marriage – when she wrote to him after reading a book he had written about his life.She said her parent may be concerned about her choice of groom – particularly her mother, a lab technician – but they “just want me to be happy”.As for conjugal rights, they will have to wait until his release.“I’d very happily spend the night with Charlie in his cell,” she said. “But it’s not allowed.” Charles Bronson seen leaving the High Court in London in February 2010Credit:Nicholas Razzell Paula Williamson, actress girlfriend of criminal Charles Bronson Charles Bronson seen leaving the High Court in London in February 2010 Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. It was Ms Williamson – who has appeared in a number of TV soaps, including Coronation St and Hollyoaks – who alerted press photographers when she visited HMP Wakefield, where Bronson is held in the segregation unit, last Monday.He had asked her to visit him that so day he could ask for her hand in marriage. Apparently he would have done it the next day – Valentine’s Day – but it was not his turn to receive visits.The couple plan to marry on her birthday in August, in the prison chapel.center_img Paula Williamson, actress girlfriend of criminal Charles Bronson She is not the first woman to develop a questionable relationship with a prison ‘lifer’ over a series of letters and occasional visits under the watchful eye of prison guard.But bit-part TV actress Paula Williamson insists she is more than just another woman who has developed an obsession with a ‘bad boy’.No, says Ms Williamson, her relationship with Charles Bronson – one of Britain’s most infamous prisoners – is the real thing.The 36-year-old has given a lengthy newspaper interview in which she insists that she and Mr Bronson, 64, will eventually marry when he is finally released after 43 years and counting behind bars, and settle down to a happy retirement together. Credit: Cherri Gilham/REX/Shutterstock “Charlie is a changed man. It is my hope that he will be released by my 40th birthday, in August 2020,” Ms Williamson told the Daily Mail.“In 2000 he was sentenced to life with a tariff of three to four years, which means he has served 14 years over his sentence. I don’t know why. I think Charlie’s been lost in the system. He’s a victim of his own infamy. He’s become a caricature of himself, really.“What really upsets me is when people think Charlie’s a serial killer. He was sent to jail for armed robbery.‘I know he’s done things in prison, and we have spoken about that. He admits he has lost his temper but has acted under extreme provocation.” Charles Bronson In fact they plan to buy a country cottage together, a stone one if you don’t mind, and have even spoken about having children.“I’m madly in love with Charlie and he’s madly in love with me. But even I can’t believe I’m marrying Britain’s most notorious prisoner,” she said. “We just want to be a normal couple.”This may be difficult, given that Mr Bronson, who was originally sentenced to just seven years for armed robbery, in 1974, has gone on receive regular increases to his sentence following repeated violent offences inside and outside prison.Bronson was released in 1988, but spent just 69 days on the outside before being arrested for robbery. In 1992 he was released again and this time returned to jail for conspiracy to rob after 53 days.Still, she lives in hope.last_img read more

Read More →

Police paid burglars £45k phone bill after handing him a mobile phone

first_img“Two people were arrested and interviewed in relation to the usage and they provided accounts with regards to their use of the mobile telephone, which included how it came into their possession.”In this case the evidential threshold was not met and nobody could be criminally charged.”The force said that following the blunder it had carried out a review into the policy of giving phones to criminals.The spokesman added: “Offenders are selected based on as much relevant information about the individual as can be gathered including offending, lifestyle and substance misuse.”The multi-agency team and its partners work together to support the individual’s journey to positively change their life through access to support services in accordance with their individual needs and re-offending risks.”A phone allows two way communications to provide encouragement and keep the individual on track.”Not only will the offender themselves benefit from the opportunity of making changes to their lives, the communities in which they live will also benefit.” Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. Red-faced police have admitted paying a £44,500 phone bill – after giving a burglar a mobile to use for free.Officers gave the criminal the phone so they could keep tabs on him while he was on bail.But the burglar handed it to two friends when he was jailed – and they racked up a huge £44,500 bill in just six months.The staggering charges on the Orange contract phone were worth more than £250-a-day.The burglar’s two friends were arrested on suspicion of theft – but no charges were brought against them when it emerged the crook wasn’t asked to sign any forms when he was given the phone.North Wales Police has now admitted they settled the £44,500 bill.A spokesman for the force said: “This phone was provided under the Integrated Offender Management process in order to allow frequent support/communication of an offender in their rehabilitation into the community.”It was used for a number of months and the bills were paid monthly as part of the overall force-wide invoice.”In the case of this particular phone a contract SIM was mistakenly supplied as opposed to a credit limited PAYG (pay as you go) SIM card.”When the irregularity came to light in early 2014 the Deputy Chief Constable requested an immediate investigation into how this had occurred, and the matter was passed to Crime Services for further investigation.”A criminal investigation took place which established three individuals to whom the phone could be attributed.last_img read more

Read More →

Woman shot as police foil active terror plot in north London discharged

first_imgOfficers are continuing to search the property, as well two other linked addresses in London, police said. A woman shot and injured after police launched an armed raid and foiled an active terror plot has been discharged from hospital and arrested.Elite armed officers carried out a “specialist entry” into a terraced property in Harlesden Road shortly before 7pm on Thursday night.Police fired CS gas into the address, which had been under observation as part of a current counter-terrorism operation. Harlesden Road where the terror raid happened Scotland Yard said warrants of further detention were granted at Westminster Magistrates’ Court on Saturday, allowing the six to be questioned until dates between May 2 and May 4.The force said the address and people connected to it has been under observation by counter terrorism officers as part of an on going “intelligence-led” operation. Metropolitan Police Deputy Assistant Commissioner Neil Basu confirmed after the raid that an active terror plot had been foiled.The Independent Police Complaints Commission has been informed of the incident, as is routine with police shootings, along with the Met’s Directorate of Professional Standards. Harlesden Road where the terror raid happenedCredit:Evening Standard / eyevine During the raid, a 21-year-old woman was shot by police, and following hospital treatment, Scotland Yard said she has now been taken in for questioning.A spokesman said: “On the afternoon of Sunday, April 30, the woman was discharged from hospital and arrested on suspicion of the commission, preparation or instigation of acts of terrorism.”She has been taken into custody at a south London police station.” A further six people were also arrested in connection with the swoop, including five at or near the address in north London and one in Kent.Aged between 16 and 43, they were all arrested on suspicion of the commission, preparation and instigation of terrorist acts and taken to a south London police station for questioning.One has been named as Mohamed Amoudi, 21, a Yemeni-born British citizen who studied physics at Queen Mary University in east London. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings.last_img read more

Read More →

Fake Archbishop accused of stealing babies finally deported to Kenya after tenyear

first_imgGilbert Deya Gilbert Deya A self-proclaimed “Archbishop” has been deported to Kenya and charged with stealing babies after a “scandalous” ten year delay.Gilbert Deya, a controversial preacher who allegedly sold Aldi olive oil as a miracle cure for cancer, has been wanted in Nairobi since 2004, accused of being involved in a smuggling operation linked to claims he could provide infertile couples with “miracle babies” through the power of prayer.Last month, High Court judges said it was “truly alarming” that the extradition case had been allowed to drag on for so long and criticised successive Governments for allowing him to delay proceedings with a string of false documents.He was finally deported in the early hours of Friday morning and was charged in a Nairobi court with five counts of stealing children, all under the age of 14.Deya, who calls himself the “Archbishop of Peckham,” is said to have taken female followers from his UK churches to Kenya after giving them herbs to make them believe they were pregnant before presenting them with a baby, allegedly stolen from slum hospitals in Nairobi. Last year, he was accused of selling a £1.99 Aldi olive oil in his church shop in south London for £5.He claimed to have “anointed” the oil and suggested that if used on food, it could make cancer “disappear”.Deya was arrested in 2006 but had resisted attempts by successive governments to deport him.His fight against extradition finally ended last month when his application for a judicial review was dismissed by exasperated High Court judges.Lord Justice Gross said it was “little short of scandalous” that his case had taken so long to resolve.He said it was “essential” that such extradition cases were “firmly ‘gripped’” by the Home Secretary, to guard against such “incremental and massive slippage” adding: “The court will be more than willing to play its part.” Gilbert Deya at Westminster Magistrates in 2007 Deya, who lived in London, denied the charges against him. He was remanded in prison until next Thursday, when the court will rule on whether to release him on bail pending trial. The Telegraph revealed last month that Deya had been jailed in May after producing a forged “order” purporting to be from Kenya’s High Court absolving him of further criminal investigation.He had been telling loyal followers at Gilbert Deya Ministries, which is said to have a 36,000-strong UK congregation, that the devil was to blame and issuing lengthy instructions and sermons to his pastors by letter.He compared himself to the Apostles, who suffered at the hands of their enemies in God’s name, and claimed he is was in prison on “God’s assignment”. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. Gilbert Deya at Westminster Magistrates in 2007Credit: Eddie Mulhollandlast_img read more

Read More →

Rising numbers of women opt for priesthood as a second career

There are so many more women in ordained ministry, it’s much more visible, they can see those people around and about, that actually becomes something that is possible for them.Catherine Nancekievill, head of discipleship and vocation “Now those women are into their 50s and their later 40s and that calling is still there.  “Maybe they’ve had a bit of a career, their children have left or are in their teens, and that calling has come back to them. “Now there are so many more women in ordained ministry, it’s much more visible, they can see those people around and about, that actually becomes something that is possible for them.”Many commentators have also cited the importance of Church role models, including Dame Mullally, who was chief nursing officer until 2004, and other female bishops such as Libby Lane, Rachel Treweek and recently-appointed Bishop of Bristol Vivienne Faull. The growth of “celebrity vicars”, such as the Reverend Richard Coles, who appeared on Strictly Come Dancing, and the Reverend Kate Bottley, who came to prominence on Gogglebox, has also been suggested as influencing rising interest in the priesthood. The figures also showed that the number of people aged under 32 recommended to train for ordination this year has risen by nearly a third compared to two years ago.Almost three in 10 of those entering training for the priesthood this year are expected to be under the age of 32.Women make up 54 per cent of this year’s candidates, the highest ever proportion. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. Rising numbers of women are entering the priesthood as a second career, Church of England figures show. Women are being encouraged to join after movements such as #MeToo boosted their confidence and prompted male clergy to offer them more support, church leaders suggested.Following in the footsteps of the Bishop of London, Sarah Mullally, who joined the Church after a successful career in nursing, the number of women aged 40 to 54 being accepted for ordination has grown by 32 per cent in two years. Catherine Nancekievill, the church’s head of discipleship and vocation, said that “changing attitudes are definitely a factor”.–– ADVERTISEMENT ––”Men actually championing women’s ministry and getting behind it really seems to have shifted over the last ten years, and congregations becoming more accepting as well,” she said.Women who had come of age when female priests were first allowed in 1994 were pursuing vocations only more after 20 or more years in their first career, she added. “They may well have got into careers and families, and that calling might have been there but they might not have actually taken these steps forward, because once you get into your 30s and 40s you just get very busy with lots of things that are happening.  read more

Read More →

Head of NHS blames Premier League football teams for fuelling gambling addictions

“We need to be getting on to the Premier League and asking them to ensure that those foreign gambling firms are playing their part,” he told an NHS conference in Manchester.Mr Stevens expressed concern that betting is fuelling a growing epidemic of mental health problems, especially among the young.“There is an increasing link between problem gambling and stress, depression and other mental health problems,” he said. Two in three cases would worsen without help, he warned.“Taxpayers and the NHS should not be left to pick up the pieces,” Mr Stevens said.“The NHS will now work with the Premier League on how we persuade these foreign gambling companies to do the right thing.” Premier League football clubs are fuelling gambling addictions and should push their sponsors to fund addiction clinics, the head of the NHS has said.Simon Stevens said he was “deeply concerned” by the lack of action to tackle addictive behaviours, saying the health service should not be left to “pick up the pieces” of a growing societal problem.Addressing a conference of NHS leaders in Manchester, he urged football clubs to put pressure on their sponsors to fund treatment for gambling addiction- describing it as one of “the new threats” to health.All betting companies are asked to give 0.1 per cent of their revenues to charity voluntarily, as part of a deal struck with the last Labour government when it deregulated gambling.But none of the foreign companies with shirt sponsorship deals with Premier League clubs have this year pledged any money to the main charity to combat addiction, with just £11,000 paid the previous year, the register of donations shows.Mr Stevens yesterday expressed impatience, suggesting it was time for the clubs themselves to put pressure on their sponsors to pay a fair share. Simon Stevens Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. Simon StevensCredit:Stefan Rousseau/PA The Remote Gambling Association, which represents online gambling firms, said it wanted to see a statutory levy to ensure fund were raised fairly and openly.A spokesman for charity GambleAware said:“With nearly half the clubs in the Premier League, and over two thirds of the Championship League sponsored by gambling companies, we are seriously concerned the relationship between sport and gambling has reached a tipping point. “There is a real risk gambling advertising and sponsorships are normalising gambling for children.”He said all gambling companies should contribute to treating problem gambling. Highlighting estimates that there are 430,000 problem gamblers in the UK, he said: “The voluntary target of funding from the gambling industry to support those services has not yet been responded to by eight of the foreign betting firms that sponsor Premier League clubs. read more

Read More →

NHS blunders claiming 11000 lives every year amid blame game culture

Eleven thousand patients a year may be dying as a result of NHS blunders amid a “blame game” culture between staff, health chiefs have warned.A new safety strategy says thousands of lives may be being lost – with older patients most likely to fall victim – because errors are being repeated as medics “close ranks”.NHS leaders will on Tuesday unveil plans to save 1,000 lives a year within five years, under a radical strategy to ensure all staff – however junior – are trained to act if they spot risks. Officials will say that conservative estimates suggest that 11,000 lives a year may be being lost across the country, as a result of safety failings – at an annual cost of £1 billion.Every hospital will be required to have a dedicated expert, who all nurses and doctors can approach, in a bid to prevent “cover ups” and stop tragedies being repeated.And all staff – including cleaners and porters, as well as doctors and nurses, will be trained in how to respond to patient safety incidents, in order to ensure that risks are detected more quickly. Dr Aidan Fowler, NHS director of patient safety, will urge the health service to embrace a “just culture” – ending a “blame game” where staff have too often closed ranks. The strategy says previous attempts to reduce risks to patients have failed because of a “mistaken belief that patient safety is about individual effort.” Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. However, it says the changes will not protect those who are guilty of malicious failings, or not fit for practice. The plans also say staff should be given more support if they speak up about errors. A new national patient safety reporting system will allow staff, patients and families the chance to report incidents on their mobile phones. Instead, everyone working for the health service will be trained under a “patient safety syllabus” which aims to ensure all workers respond quickly and openly when risks are spotted. The 82-page strategy sets out ambitions to save almost 1,000 lives a year by 2023/24. The plans, to be launched at a conference in Manchester, include efforts to use technology to halve the number of drug errors and prevent falls in hospitals, by doing more to identify and support frail patients. There will also be a drive to cut deaths and harm in maternity wards, with improved risk assessment and surveillance efforts.But leaders will on Tuesday say that changing the culture of the NHS is fundamental to saving lives and ensuring lessons are learned. Simon Stevens, NHS chief executive, told The Telegraph: “This strategy builds on the NHS’ work over the past decade, and should help accelerate progress for the decade ahead. “Worldwide, health systems have been embracing the need to drive improvements in safety and while progress has been made there is still much to do.” Simon Stevens says there is still much to do to improve safety standardsCredit:Getty “We need to help NHS staff to speak up when they see things going wrong, this is crucial to improving patient safety over the next decade and will ensure that the right lessons are learned, and errors minimised.” The document warns that previous efforts to improve the safety record of the NHS have been stymied by the fact staff are too frightened to speak up – for fear it could damage their careers. “‘Just cultures’ in the NHS are too often thwarted by fear and blame. A consistent message in the consultation responses was that fear is too prevalent across NHS staff, particularly in relation to involvement in patient safety incidents,” the strategy warns. “Too often in healthcare we have sought to blame individuals, and individuals have not felt safe to admit errors and learn from them or act to prevent recurrence,” it states. “Blame relies on two myths. First, the perfection myth: that if we try hard, we will not make any errors. Second, the punishment myth: if we punish people when they make errors, they will not make them again,” it states. Efforts to focus on individual errors mean that wider problems are missed, and mistakes repeated, the strategy says.   And all bereaved families will be given the chance to discuss any concerns about the care of their loved ones with an independent doctor, under a new system of medical examiners. Dr Aidan Fowler, national director of patient safety, said: “The NHS has tough protections to deal with deliberate wrongdoing by staff, but in the vast majority of cases, it is either honest mistakes or problems with systems that are at fault. Simon Stevens says there is still much to do to improve safety standards read more

Read More →

Baby of stabbed mother dies as police release CCTV of suspect

Detectives investigating the murder of Kelly Mary Fauvrelle in Thornton Heath have released CCTV footage of a man they wish to traceCredit:Met Police “We have assured Kelly’s family – and I want to assure local residents and the wider public too – that we are doing absolutely everything in our power to find the person responsible.”I am aware that there is some speculation about whether Kelly’s attacker was known to her. At this stage we simply are not in a position to say and we must retain an open mind.”One of the key aims of my investigation is to build a complete picture of Kelly’s life and the people with whom she was in contact, but I also need to consider other possible scenarios.”Members of the public may have useful information, and I am today reiterating my appeal for anyone who may know anything that will assist the investigation to make contact as soon as possible.” Detectives investigating the murder of Kelly Mary Fauvrelle in Thornton Heath have released CCTV footage of a man they wish to trace “It was a savage and sustained attack on a clearly and obviously heavily pregnant woman, which has had catastrophic results,” he said.”She has suffered from multiple stab wounds. When the family got into her room, she was clearly critically injured.”Mr Norman said Ms Fauvrelle’s whole family – her mother, two brothers, sister and sister’s baby son – were all in the house but did not see the attacker. He added that the force was unable to say whether Ms Fauvrelle’s attacker was known to her and officers are keeping an open mind.He said: “A dedicated team of detectives are working day and night on this investigation. Anyone with information is asked to call the police incident room on 020 8721 4005 or Crimestoppers anonymously on 0800 555111.Police release CCTV of suspect seen running from direction of victim’s homefauvThe Metropolitan Police released CCTV of a suspect who is seen walking towards Ms Fauvrelle’s address before running away from the scene minutes later.In the footage released by the Metropolitan Police, a man is seen walking towards Ms Fauvrelle’s address at 3.11am and running back just over 10 minutes later.Police were called to the house at 3.30am.Detective Chief Inspector Mick Norman of the Met’s Homicide and Major Crime Command said: “The release of this footage is the next step in what has been a fast-paced, and extremely challenging investigation.”We need to identify the man shown in the footage urgently, even if only to eliminate him from our enquiries. I need to hear from anyone who knows who he is.”If this is you, it is imperative that you contact my team immediately.” A heavily pregnant woman was stabbed to death in her bedroom while her whole family was at home, police have revealed, after announcing her baby has also died.Royal Mail worker Kelly Mary Fauvrelle, 26, was eight months pregnant when she was murdered at her home in Raymead Avenue, Thornton Heath, London, in the early hours of Saturday.Her baby son – who was named Riley by family members after he was delivered by paramedics – died in hospital in the early hours of Wednesday morning.Riley’s father, who did not live with Ms Fauvrelle, was with his son at the time of his death and is not currently being treated as a suspect, Scotland Yard said.The force has released CCTV footage of a possible suspect seen walking towards the address before running away from the scene minutes later.Detective Chief Inspector Mick Norman said her family was alerted to the “vicious” attack by her screams at around 3.30am. “The attack took place in Kelly’s bedroom on the ground floor and at the rear of the premises,” he said.”In terms of access there is a communal passageway and potentially the obvious access point would be through the kitchen.”There is no sign of a forced entry but that does not mean, through accident, the premises were insecure.”He added the murder weapon, which could be a kitchen knife, is yet to be found.In the footage released by the Metropolitan Police, a man is seen walking towards Ms Fauvrelle’s address at 3.11am and running back just over 10 minutes later.The force are appealing for anyone who may know the potential suspect to contact police.Mr Norman was unable to say whether Ms Fauvrelle’s attacker was known to her and officers are keeping an open mind.Detectives are trying to build a picture of Ms Fauvrelle’s life and the people she knew.”What is very clear is she was very happy to be pregnant,” Mr Norman said.”She was very much looking forward to being a mother. She was popular but also a very private person.”Two men have been arrested on suspicion of murder. One, aged 37, was released under investigation on Sunday, and a second, aged 29, has been released on bail until early August. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. read more

Read More →

Prisoner charged for threatening to kill President

Alim Ally, a Lusignan Prison inmate who had allegedly placed a 911 call threatening to assassinate President David Granger in November last, was on Monday hauled before the Georgetown Magistrates’ courts and charged on four counts.Alim AllyIt is alleged that Ally whilst in a public place (Lusignan Prison, East Coast Demerara) telephoned 911 and threatened to kill the President and shoot at the Brickdam Police station with intent to cause fear.Three charges of a similar nature followed and according to prosecutor Arvin Moore, the telephone calls were made on different occasions between November 10 and November 19 2017. The accused denied all four of the charges read to him by Magistrate Leron Daly.The prosecutor objected to bail being granted to the accused who appeared unrepresented in court and disclosed that Ally was presently serving a five year sentence at the said penitentiary. This objection was upheld by the magistrate who then ordered the accused to return before the Chief Magistrate Ann McLennan on Thursday, December 21, 2017.Earlier this year, Andriff Gillard had alleged that he was offered $7 million to assassinate the Head of State and accused popular businessman Nizam Khan of being the mastermind on national television.An investigation was promptly launched, followed by a Commission of Inquiry (CoI) that was instructed by President Granger himself.  However, the inquiry found that the story told by Gillard was not corroborated. Share this:Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Related65-year-old among 3 in custody for threatening to kill President- PoliceApril 6, 2018In “Crime”Sexagenarian accused of threatening to kill President remandedApril 9, 2018In “Court”Prisoner places call to 911, allegedly threatens to kill PresidentNovember 23, 2017In “Crime” read more

Read More →

Man accused of stealing chairs mattress remanded to prison

A 35-year-old man who stole a number of items, including a set of chairs and a mattress, found himself before the Court of Law charged with the offence.Seon Bert denied stealing the 24 chairs, mattress and air conditioning unit with a total value of $185,000, property of Nigel Pile.The accused reportedly stole the items on May 1 2018 at North Road, Georgetown.According to the facts of the matter, the Virtual Complainant (VC) secured his business place on April 30 2018, however, upon his return the following day he observed that there was a break-in. Further checks made revealed that the items mentioned in the charge were all stolen.The matter was reported and investigations carried out saw the defendant being arrested with the items in his possession.Bail was objected to by Police Prosectuor Sanj Singh who revealed to Magistrate Leron Daly that Bert has no fixed place of abode.As such, bail was refused and the defendant was remanded to prison. He is scheduled to return on May 25 2018. Share this:Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)RelatedMan remanded for allegedly stealing money from GrandfatherMarch 3, 2015In “Crime”Man accused of stealing cellphone remanded to prisonAugust 11, 2017In “Court”Repeat offender charged with motorcycle theftJanuary 15, 2018In “Court” read more

Read More →

Essequibo native gets life for rape of 8yo child

Thirty-four year old David Alexander was on Monday jailed for raping a child left in his care on February 24, 2015 in the Essequibo County. The girl was just eight at the time.The Essequibo native who entered a guilty plea said he was very sorry for his actions, noting that he has been suffering on remand for the last three years.High Court Judge, Justice Jo-Ann Barlow however sentenced him to life, saying that she could see any mitigating factors as Alexander’s crime was among the worst the court has seen.The judge also ordered that he be exposed to counseling sessions and sessions to assist with his alcoholism as his excessive alcohol use was no excuse for committing such acts.Alexander claims he did not know what he was doing as he was drinking for most of the day but the court however considered that the girl was administered surgery after the offender raped her.In the girl’s impact statement, she said she felt hurt, sad and afraid of Alexander as she believed he was going to return and kill her.The majority of criminal cases before the court concern sexual offences. Share this:Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)RelatedMan found guilty of raping a child gets two life sentencesMarch 28, 2018In “Court””Devoted Catholic” sentenced to life in prison for raping childDecember 21, 2017In “Court”Block maker gets life for raping girl, 7September 6, 2018In “Court” read more

Read More →

Miners and farmers sign agreement

first_imgThe Victorian Farmers Federation (VFF) and the Minerals Council of Australia, Victorian Division (MCA) have signed off today on two significant documents regarding exploration and mining on Victorian private land.The first document is a guide for landowners regarding exploration and mining on private land, the second is a standard agreement for compensation for mineral exploration on private land. Both documents have been updated to reflect current legislation and industry practice. VFF President, Simon Ramsay and Victorian Division, MCA Chairman, Charlie Speirs said that these agreements would help good relations between the two industries.Ramsay: “This guide should be of considerable use to any farmer whose land may become of interest for mineral exploration. I strongly recommend that it be referred to by farmers prior to any discussion or negotiation with representatives of the mining industry.”“The Minerals Council of Australia has been pleased to prepare this booklet in the interests of ensuring that landholders are fully aware of the laws relating to minerals exploration and mining on their land,” Speirs said.“This guide lays out clearly and in plain language the rights and responsibilities of each party when a company wants access to private land for either exploration or actual mining. The booklet is about explaining the situation so that farmers and miners know exactly what they can and can’t do. With the benefit of these guidelines, farmers will be able to approach this process with increased confidence,” Ramsay said.Speirs: “Over the past decade or more we have all learnt a considerable amount about sustainable land management. Members of the Council are committed to achieving the highest standards in caring for the land and consulting with key stakeholders. Today’s agreement further illustrates the mineral industry’s commitment to multiple and sequential land use – ensuring that lands on which exploration and mining activities are undertaken are available for use by other users both concurrently with the mining activity and following its completion.”“It is testament to the effectiveness of these agreements that whilst more than 50% of Victoria is covered by exploration and mining licenses; in the past five years, the State Mining Warden has dealt with fewer than 20 cases involving a dispute between a landholder and licensee. None of these cases have been referred to VCAT or the Supreme Court,” Ramsay and Speirs said. They concluded: “Agriculture and mining are the two great primary industries of Australia and we look forward to continuing this partnership.”The guide was last updated and published in 2000 and the compensation agreement in 2002. Copies of the Guide to Private Landowners can be obtained from either the VFF or MCA or from the web site at www.minerals.org.au/victorialast_img read more

Read More →

Diamond mine economics production costs margins cash flows to 2030 – a

first_imgMany are switching from open pit to underground mining, or exploiting smaller, lower grade satellite orebodies; substantial changes in mine economics will occur as a result. Diamond Mine Economics by GFMS Mine Economics provides, the research company says, diamond miners, financial institutions, governments and other industry stakeholders with “high quality forward-looking insights into the underlying drivers of diamond mine economics. The study provides high quality independent support to investment/lending decisions, risk reward analysis, peer group comparisons and mine benchmarking.The global diamond mining industry is currently under extreme pressure. This is possibly the most challenging period yet faced by the global diamond mining business, as product inventories have risen and prices fallen. As a result, the sector is experiencing serious difficulties. Since late 2008, production has been suspended at some of the world’s largest and (previously) most profitable diamond mines: The industry has fragmented considerably over the last ten years; numerous new entrants have arrived in the sector Alongside these challenges, the current situation undoubtedly presents unique opportunities for some players. A new study from GFMS Mine Economics aims to identify and quantify these. This study clearly identifies and quantifies:Which mines are profitable under different market outcomesWhat is the impact of low prices on the future production profile, in terms of volume and value?What diamond prices are needed for projects to generate acceptable financial returns?When the market recovers, which mines and projects present the best restart and expansion opportunities?Based on a stringent methodology for analysing mine economics, the analysis in this study is derived from ‘bottom-up’ analysis of mine productivity, energy use, mining and processing costs, making it ideal for asset benchmarking purposes.GFMS Mine Economics is undertaking a program of global mine visits in order to gather the technical and operating data included in the new study. Besides an in-depth production cost breakdown, revenues, margins and forward-looking cash flows are presented for each operation.For further information contact Mark Fellows at mark.fellows@gfmsmine-ec.com or Charles de Meester at charles.demeester@gfms.co.uk For many miners, tough market conditions have arrived at a particularly inopportune moment; just as they are implementing expensive expansion and life extension planscenter_img Over the medium term the industry cost structure is undergoing radical change, as existing mines mature Many of the more recent entrants into the business have only recently raised significant amounts of debt and equity finance, acquired mines and projects or commissioned new mines Operating cost rises, which have impacted across the breadth of the mining sector, are yet to unwind, squeezing margins still furtherlast_img read more

Read More →